RDNA5 damage assessment: Ukraine requires USD 15.25 billion for recovery in 2026, 34% already secured from the state budget and partners

Today, 23 February, the official presentation of the Fifth Rapid Damage and Needs Assessment (RDNA5) took place in Kyiv, covering the period from 24 February 2022 to 31 December 2025.

The document was prepared jointly by the World Bank, the Government of Ukraine, the European Commission, and the United Nations, in coordination with international partners, academic institutions, civil society, and the private sector.

On behalf of the Government of Ukraine, the preparation of RDNA5 was led by the Ministry for Communities and Territories Development in coordination with the Ministry of Finance and the Ministry of Economy, Environment and Agriculture.

Representing the Ukrainian side at the presentation were Prime Minister Yulia Svyrydenko, Minister of Finance Sergii Marchenko, First Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Energy Denys Shmyhal, Deputy Prime Minister for Restoration and Minister for Communities and Territories Development Oleksii Kuleba, and Minister of Economy, Environment and Agriculture Oleksii Sobolev.

RDNA5 provides an updated comprehensive assessment of physical damage, economic losses, and recovery and reconstruction needs caused by the criminal aggression of the russian federation against Ukraine. As of the end of 2025:

• Recovery and reconstruction needs over the next ten years are estimated at USD 588 billion, nearly three times Ukraine’s projected GDP for 2025. In 2025 alone, this amount increased by 12%, from USD 524 billion at the end of 2024.
• Total direct damage is estimated at USD 195 billion, which is 10.8% higher compared to RDNA4. The housing sector, transport, and energy infrastructure have suffered the most significant damage.
• Socio-economic losses have reached USD 667 billion, reflecting profound impacts on production, employment, household incomes, and service delivery.

“RDNA5 clearly demonstrates the scale of the challenges facing Ukraine. The Government of Ukraine and international partners are undertaking significant efforts to advance recovery already now. At the same time, while the full-scale war continues, all domestic resources are being directed toward financing the security and defense sector. This remains the top priority of the state budget. To ensure the necessary level of financing for rapid recovery needs, support from international partners as well as private sector investment is crucial. It is fundamentally important for us to maintain the country’s financial stability, ensure transparent and efficient use of every resource, and attract private capital and international assistance,” Sergii Marchenko commented during the panel discussion.

The Government of Ukraine is already implementing priority recovery measures for 2026 totaling USD 15.25 billion, of which approximately 34% has been secured through the State Budget and confirmed partner support. At the same time, substantial financing needs remain.

RDNA5 highlights the key role of the private sector in rebuilding the country. Provided that the necessary reforms are implemented, up to 40% of recovery needs could be financed through private investment over the next decade. In this context, reforms in the rule of law, state-owned enterprise governance, public-private partnerships, financial market development, and EU integration remain essential.

The presentation of RDNA5 marks an important milestone in coordinating international support for Ukraine and shaping a shared vision for long-term recovery. Partners reaffirmed their unwavering commitment to supporting Ukraine on its path toward a resilient, inclusive, and competitive economy.