Ukraine’s restoration needs over the next ten years will amount to USD 588 billion

Ministry for Communities and Territories Development of Ukraine, posted 23 February 2026 20:26

The Ministry for Communities and Territories Development of Ukraine, in collaboration with the World Bank, presented the results of an assessment of the damage and needs caused by the large-scale russian invasion (RDNA5). The RDNA5 assessment covers the period from 24 February 2022 to 31 December 2025 and is a continuation of the previous four RDNA reports.

“Amid russia’s unprecedented attacks on energy and civilian infrastructure across Ukraine this winter, we continue to demonstrate resilience, recover quickly and develop.

Thanks to RDNA, we have a comprehensive and exhaustive assessment of the scale of destruction over four years of full-scale invasion, financial needs, and priorities for restoration for the period 2026–2036. This is an important basis for ensuring the effectiveness of international assistance programmes and attracting investment. I would like to thank the teams at the World Bank, the EU and the UN for supporting our efforts to address these challenges,” said Prime Minister Yulia Svyrydenko in her welcoming remarks.

According to RDNA5 estimates, the total needs for restoration and reconstruction over the next 10 years amount to USD 588 billion. This is USD 64 billion more than a year ago.

According to the assessment, the most affected sectors are housing (31% of total damage), transport (20.6%), energy (12%), trade and industry (9%), and agriculture (6%).

The report was presented by Deputy Prime Minister for Restoration of Ukraine – Minister for Communities and Territories Development Oleksii Kuleba and World Bank Regional Country Director for Eastern Europe Bob Saum. The Ministry team worked on the report for four months, coordinated by Deputy Minister Maryna Denysiuk.

“The scale of Ukraine’s restoration is unprecedented in modern history: our restoration needs for the next decade have already reached USD 588 billion. We have USD 5.8 billion in funding available for the implementation of priority projects and programmes in 2026, but the deficit remains critical at USD 9.5 billion.

The largest funding gap is concentrated in the areas of energy, housing, transport, and water supply and sanitation. The restoration of one sector is impossible without the other.

We are grateful to our partners who stand shoulder to shoulder with us, supporting Ukraine’s restoration by implementing European standards and the Build Back Better principle. Together, we are not just rebuilding the country, we are bringing Ukraine closer to EU membership,” said Oleksii Kuleba.

In 2025, Ukraine’s energy sector suffered significant losses, and even greater losses in the first two months of 2026. The total cost of restoring the power system and heating networks as of 31 December 2025 is estimated at USD 90.6 billion.

Heat supply needs USD 1.6 billion in 2026, but less than 1% of the funding has been secured.

According to RDNA5 estimates, the largest total amount of restoration and reconstruction needs is in transport – more than USD 96 billion for the next decade. This figure reflects the significant destruction of roads, railways, bridges and logistics infrastructure.

Since the start of the full-scale war, 14% of the housing stock, or more than 3 million households, has been damaged or destroyed. More than 80% of the damage and destruction is concentrated in frontline and border regions. Restoration over the next 10 years will require approximately USD 90 billion, with a need for USD 2.6 billion in 2026.

All these sectors are interdependent and form the basis for economic development. In general, the priority areas for reconstruction are water supply, energy, housing, education, health care, civil protection, social support, transport networks, demining and multi-sectoral projects.

The challenges within Ukraine’s needs for restoration and reconstruction were outlined in speeches by World Bank Managing Director Anna Bjerde, European Commissioner for Enlargement Marta Kos, and UN Resident and Humanitarian Coordinator in Ukraine Matthias Schmale.

The panel discussion “Financing Recovery Now: Priorities for 2026” was moderated by First Deputy Minister for Communities and Territories Development of Ukraine Alona Shkrum, with the participation of Minister of Finance of Ukraine Sergii Marchenko, Minister of Economy, Environment and Agriculture of Ukraine Oleksii Sobolev, IFC Vice President for Europe, Latin America and the Caribbean Alfonso García Mora, and World Bank Vice President for the Europe and Central Asia Region Antonella Bassani.

The fifth Rapid Damage and Needs Assessment (RDNA5) report on the damage and needs caused by the large-scale russian invasion is available at this link.