• Українською
  • Ministry of Ecology and Natural Resources and the EBRD presented the results of model analysis of the second Nationally Determined Contributions of Ukraine to the Paris Agreement
    Ministry of Ecology and Natural Resources of Ukraine, posted 27 November 2020 16:46

    Possible scenarios of greenhouse gas emissions in Ukraine, sectoral calculations and policies that Ukraine needs to implement aimed to achieve ambitious goals were presented at the sixth meeting of the Working Group on the preparation of the second National Determined Contributions of Ukraine to the Paris Agreement.

    During the event the participants presented the results of modeling of greenhouse gas emissions in Ukraine in 4 scenarios:

    • basic scenario, which does not provide for structural changes in the energy and economy of the country;
    • reference or current policy scenario, which contains the full implementation of efficient European legislation, including the Energy Strategy, the Waste Management Strategy, etc .;
    • climate-neutral economy scenario that is fully in line with the objectives of the Paris Agreement;
    • combined sensitivity scenario, in which Ukraine will be able to reach the ambitious goals by 2070, but at lower investment costs compared to previous scenarios.

    At that, according to experts, under the baseline scenario, emissions will increase. Other scenarios envisage significant reductions in greenhouse gas emissions in Ukraine against 1990 levels.

    Particular attention was paid to the implementation of policies and measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and the necessary investments in the following sectors:

    electricity sector,

    thermal energy production,

    bioenergy,

    industry,

    agriculture,

    forestry,

    buildings,

    transport,

    waste.

    Cross-sectoral and adaptation policies are considered.

    Further, a number of consultations will be held with the relevant central executive bodies, committees of the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine, international experts and institutions Ukraine cooperates with, as well as public discussions to form the second National Contribution of Ukraine to the Paris Agreement.