S&P Global Ratings affirmed sovereign credit ratings on Ukraine that prove progress of the pursued by the Government reforms
Standard&Poor
Global Ratings, following the ratings announced by international agencies
Moody's and Fitch, affirmed Ukraine's sovereign credit rating at ‘B- / B’ with stable outlook. This is viewed as recognition of
the progress of the course of reforms pursued by the Government.
The press release
published by S&P Global Ratings recognizes reforms are underway in Ukraine,
including within the framework of the implementation of the program of the International
Monetary Fund.
“The
stable outlook reflects our expectation that the Ukrainian government will maintain
access to its official creditor support over
the next 12 months by pursuing the required fiscal, financial, and economic
reforms,” the
release reads. “We could consider a positive rating action if economic growth
significantly outperforms our expectations, alongside improvements in fiscal
and external imbalances, and there is no further deterioration in the situation
in the east of the country.”
Specialists
from S&P Global Ratings noted that since the beginning of the year, Ukraine
had faced major challenges, with a key challenge in the first quarter of 2017
which was a trade blockade in Donbas leading to loss of assets and sources of
energy. “However, data so far suggests that the economy has been able to
weather the shock and will likely grow by about 2.2% this year,” the report
contains, “We expect the negative shock of the Donbas trade blockade to fade
out and real GDP growth to accelerate, averaging 3% over 2018-2020. Pent-up
investment demand and healthy demand for Ukrainian exports, especially metals
and agricultural products, will continue boosting growth, in our view.”
The Company
considers among those actions of topmost importance the implementation of four
crucial reforms which will benefit the country's future growth, such as:
further implementation of a pension reform, approval of new legislative
framework to ensure a large-scale privatization process according to new rules,
deepening and efficient application of anti-corruption initiatives, as well as
a well-coordinated tariff policy. Peculiar attention should be paid to the land
reform. “This reform, coupled with functioning anti-corruption courts and a
well-thought-out privatization process, could unlock potential for further
foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows,” the report reads.